No One Should Be Surprised

With the Nashville Predators and the Los Angeles Kings winning their respective games today, the Winnipeg Jets needed the same result in their game against the Philadelphia Flyers if they wanted any legitimate chance at making the playoffs. Mathematically, the Jets wouldn't be eliminated from the race, but the required wins and losses to get in are at their maximums after tonight's woeful, uninspired 7-1 hammering at the hands of the Flyers. For a team that needed to be at its best to make the last week of the season matter, the Jets turned in one of their worst performances of the season. Like the sheep in wolf's clothing, no one should be surprised that the Jets are going to miss the playoffs. This is simply another game where they didn't bother to show up.

Let's go back to April 2 where the Jets were going into Dallas to play the Stars. They had won four of five games entering that contest including a solid 4-2 win over Colorado and a demon-exorcising 4-1 win over Vegas. The Jets were on a bit of a high as they landed in the Lone Star State, and the team was looking to take that next step.

"We just said to take care of our own business and that's what we're trying to do. We got ourselves here, but we can't take our foot off the gas," head coach Scott Arniel said following the overtime win in Chicago on March 31. "It doesn't get any easier in going into Dallas and then Columbus, so a lot of heavy lifting still to go. We have got to make sure that we continue to do those things that keep us in games and that gives us a chance to win."

A 22-save shutout for Jake Oettinger combined with Adam Erne and Arttu Hyry each having a goal and an assist was all that was needed for the Stars to brush the Jets aside by a 3-0 score. For a guy who had said how the Jets had to "take care of our own business" two days earlier, Scott Arniel sung a different tune following the Dallas game.

"I didn't like our first two periods. I know the first period, they got the couple ones on the power play and then we turned the puck over and gave them the second one. We didn't have enough compete, we didn't have enough guys getting our nose over the puck and being heavy on it. Our execution wasn't great,” Arniel said about the loss.

It's funny how things can change so dramatically in two days.

Tonight's game is sort of how the stretch run has played out for the Jets. A late goal against Nashville earned them a point, but a shootout loss on March 17 gave Nashville two points. They followed that effort up by going through the motions in a 6-1 hammering by Boston two nights later, and then dropped a 5-4 shootout loss to the Penguins in a game where the Jets held a 4-3 lead with eleven minutes to play. In games where the Jets needed two points to jump into the thick of the playoff race, they were unable to secure them.

Since March 1, the Jets are 5-5-2 against teams in a playoff position while posting a 7-1-1 record against teams out of the playoffs. The Jets are beating the teams they should beat, but they've struggled against teams in the dance. If the Jets had any hope of making noise in the playoffs, they had to be better than .500 against playoff-bound teams. They aren't, though, and that might be the most important thing about the Jets falling short: they don't beat good teams when they have to win. Isn't that what playoff hockey is all about?

There will be lots of video for the coaching staff to break down for Sunday's practice as they prepare for the Vegas Golden Knights on Monday. The Jets beat Vegas 4-1 in their last meeting in Winnipeg, but Vegas will likely come into Canada Life Centre fired up as they sit one point ahead of Edmonton for the Pacific Division crown. If they show up at the rink like they did tonight, the playoff dream ends.

Beyond that, the Jets have to win all three of their remaining games while hoping that the Kraken, Canucks, and Flames take care of the Kings and the Sharks and Ducks handle the Predators. There is no tomorrow if they don't take six points in the final games and get some help because the Kings and Predators can eliminate the Jets with any win in their final games. In layman's terms, the Jets need to dig deep over the remaining three games or they're golfing next week.

Frankly, no one should be surprised that it's come to this. This Jets team has been a sheep in wolf's clothing all season long, never really proving that they had the killer instinct needed to be considered as a contender. Tonight's effort put them on the brink of elimination, and it might just be time for these sheep to be put out to pasture.

Until next time, keep your sticks on the ice!